Renewable Energy Outlook 2030

Lehmann, Harry
Peter, Stefan

2008

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The objective of this study is to present an alternative and - from our point of view - more realistic view of the chances of the future uses of renewable energies in the global energy supply. The scenarios in this study are based on the analysis of the development and market penetration of renewable energy technologies in different regions in the last few decades. The scenarios address the question of how fast renewable technologies might be implemented on a worldwide scale and project the costs this would incur. Many factors, such as technology costs and costreduction ratios, investments and varying economic conditions in the world’s regions, available potentials, and characteristics of growth have been incorporated in order to fulfil this task. The scenarios describe only two possible developments among a range of prospects, but they represent realistic possibilities that give reason for optimism. The results of both scenarios show that – until 2030 – renewable capacities can be extended by a far greater amount and that it is actually much cheaper than most scientist and laypeople think. The scenarios do explicitly not describe a maximum possible development from the technological perspective but show that much can be achieved with even moderate investments. The scenarios primarily address the development of the electricity capacities, heat supplied by renewable energies is only partially analysed. Fuels are not part of the study. [Extractos: Executive Summary]

Energías renovables; Escenarios;