Biofuel Feedstock Assessment for Selected Countries

Kline, Keith L.
Oladosu, Gbadebo A.
Wolfe, Amy K.
Perlack, Robert D.
Dale, Virginia H.
McMahon, Matthew

2008

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The primary purpose of this study was to replace point estimates of potential future biomass feedstock supplies with more analytically useful ‘supply curves’ for selected countries and feedstocks. Such supply curves permit more detailed analysis of feedstock variables when modeling future global biofuel markets. The study scope was focused to meet time and resource requirements. A screening process identified Argentina, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, India, Mexico, and the Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI) region as likely to be important players in future feedstock supply based on a number of criteria including proximity to the United States, current feedstock production and participation in global markets. Future feedstocks are divided into two groups: traditional crops that can be converted to biofuel and cellulosic materials such as crop and forest residues. Crop feedstocks selected for study were sugarcane, corn, wheat, soybeans, and palm oil. The total production of these crops in the countries studied as a percentage of global non-U.S. production in 2006 is presented in Table ES-1. Selected countries represent the majority of non-U.S. supplies of sugarcane, soybeans and corn, 27% of wheat, and just a small fraction (3%) of global palm oil production. This report presents the findings of the biofuel feedstock production assessments and projections of future supply. The resulting supply curve functions for each selected crop in the seven countries and CBI, along with calculations to reflect estimated supplies available for export and/or biofuel production, were provided to DOE for use in an energy market allocation model as part of a broader study. Potential cellulosic supplies from crop and forestry residues and perennials were also estimated for 2017 and 2027. [Extracto: Executive Summary]

Argentina; Biocombustibles; Biomasa; Brasil; Caribe; Colombia; Materia prima; México; Potenciales;