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Greenhouse gas emissions and the developing countries : strategic options and the U.S.A.I.D. response. A report to Congress. Potencial contributions of developing countries to greenhouse gas emissions assuming no policy actions.

1990

CIENA
373

The basis of examining the potential contributions of the developing countries to greenhouse gas emissions are the emissions scenarios used by the IPCC. Designed to meet specific targets (doubling of equivalent CO2 concentrations) by certain future dates, variants of each scenario to refect higher and lower rates of economic growth are presented. A business as usual scenario, in which no major greenhouse gas emission control policies are implemented, projects the share of greenhouse gas emissions attributable to the developing countries from energy, forestry, agriculture, and industrial activities at over 50 per cent of global emissions by 2025. In most of the A.I.D. -designated key developing countries, assuming no policy response to climate change, greenhouse gas emissions rapidly increase by 2025 with major contributions from energy activities, deforestation, agricultural activities, and CFC usage.

Ministerio de Ambiente y Energía. Secretaría de Planificación del Sub-Sector Energía - Centro de Información de Energía y Ambiente, CIENA

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